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elliott oberman's avatar

Eliminating Iran’s nuclear program is a goal most of the world should share, and countries in the region and beyond are cheering Israel’s campaign to destroy it — many, though not all, in secret. But Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu appears to want more than cheering, at least from the United States. America has the Massive Ordnance Penetrator bomb, or MOP, that could burrow deep enough, and with enough firepower, to penetrate Iran’s Fordow nuclear facility, as well as the B-2 stealth bombers to deliver it. President Donald Trump has sounded both warlike and diplomatic — issuing a statement of the diplomatic sort on Thursday — but he still appears to be weighing a direct U.S. strike in the coming weeks. Remember trump always chicken out, dummkopf!

Donald Trump Is Already Waging War: Against Blue America

The National Guard in Los Angeles, the arrests of Democratic politicians, the aim is to create chaos in blue states and use it as a pretext. Chao is consistent with Dictators when changing and deleting democracy's, Trump has made the US a Dictatorship while the US incompetent citizens did nothing to stop him, it's like the people were sleeping, he is laughing on why you let him! Trump Threatens to Send Troops to More Cities After Huge Legal Win. You snooze you lose. A federal appeals court ruled Donald Trump could keep the National Guard troops in Los Angeles. His laughing at the incompetent democratic people of the US. I'm the King of the world you suckers and losers!

It's time to commit Donald Trump. Florida's Baker Act is the way to do it.

Trump loves the dress-up part of being generalissimo. But he is not a warrior president.

He revels in the trappings and parade of power; but if he wages war, he wants it to be here in America, not abroad.

He would love Day One of the the War. Not so much the Days After. He wants the show, but not the mess.

And, finally, the guy who blusters All-caps threats — “UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER” — really does always chicken out.

All of this leads Daniel Drezner to go out on a limb and predict that “Trump is not gonna bomb Iran. This is a bluff.”

Finally, as noted here, here, here, here, and here, Trump is more predictable on foreign affairs than he or his team understand. If Trump thinks he is picking on a weakling, or an actor who cannot retaliate against the United States, he’ll go through with the attacks.

But otherwise, Trump always chickens out.

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Joseph Dougherty's avatar

Israel has been claiming Iran is a month, or weeks, or some other short period away from a nuclear weapon for many years. Netanyahu and Israel have wanted war with Iran for many years—if they can drag the US in. That is why the pretext is Iranian nukes, though US intelligence says this is false.

There was a good program in place to limit Iran in nuclear capability while encouraging and facilitating peaceful uses, the JCPOA.

trump pulled out of it because he hates anything Obama did, and is now trying to "negotiate" a worse deal. But he's not actually negotiating; he does not know how to do that. He's indulging in more of his performative bullying.

We are ignoring that Israel has once again attacked another nation under thin pretext, and is violating the airspace of the countries between Israel and Iran with every attack.

Israel is not "scrambling to stop a nuclear Iran;" it is waging war for quite conventional reasons using that as a pretext.

Thanks to to the criminal stupidity of the US, Israel does have nuclear weapons. Now that the Pentagon has opined that the deep Iranian complex can be destroyed **only** with nuclear weapons Netanyahu will be pressing trump to use them, while the end times lunatics that surround trump push for steps to "the rapture" and armageddon.

And if trump does not use nuclear weapons, Israel may; they are already a pariah state, though they'd prefer the US face the consequences.

The end of Netanyahu's plan rests on manipulating trump, and trump's stupidity, ignorance, and mental decline make this easy.

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